It may feel like it’s been going on forever but the U.S. presidential election is finally heading into the home stretch.
Election day is Nov. 3 in the United States, although more than 70 million Americans have already cast their vote.
And if the polls are to be believed, former vice-president Joe Biden is heavily favoured to defeat President Donald Trump to capture the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency. Celebrated pollster Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.com gives Biden an average 8.5 per cent lead in national polls and an 88 per cent chance of winning the election.
But we’ve heard that before.
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In 2016, Hillary Clinton was ahead by three per cent in the national poll average, and was given a 71 per cent chance of winning the election by Silver. When the dust finally settled, Clinton did win the popular vote by almost three million votes (2.1 per cent), but fell short by a few thousand votes in a handful of states, enough to hand Trump an Electoral College victory.
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