Wave of orange rushes over Sooke

Region was big part of Randall Garrison's win in Oct. 19 federal election, poll by poll results reveal

  • Nov. 13, 2015 7:00 p.m.

Sooke voters were a big reason why New Democrat Randall Garrison was able to capture a third term as a member of Parliament in last month’s federal election, a detail analysis of poll-by-poll results show.

The poll results reveals the most staggering aspect in recent years: more people than usual came out and voted.

Garrison won the Esquimalt-Saanich-Sooke riding by more than 5,200 votes.

Still, Conservatives’ loss resonates just as loudly as the NDP’s win over Vancouver Island and B.C., especially in a riding that historically, has parts in it which have supported the Conservative party in the past.

University of Victoria political scientist Jamie Lawson noted the dip in Conservative support largely stemmed from concerns regarding environmental issues, as well as policies for oil tanker and pipeline development.

“Connected with allegations of democratic deficit, that it had an impact over time on witness key people who support the Conservatives,” Lawson said, adding this is why more central “constitutional traditionalists” were inclined to be more amiable toward views and arguments made from people such as Green candidate Elizabeth May.

By default that left only two choices for voters in the Sooke-Esquimalt-Saanich riding: vote for the most experienced, (Garrison) who’d replace the Conservatives, or don’t vote at all.

“In the previous election, the people who were opposed to the Conservatives were being actively organized and more willing to change their vote in order to back local candidates who had the best chance of excluding a Conservative from office,” he said.

This could also explain for the almost-mythical group of “undecided” voters who either voted impulsively with a key motive in mind, or didn’t vote at all, perhaps feeling that their initially-preferred party disappointed them.

Of all the conflicted voters, Armed Forces voters were probably the most conflicted about their feelings towards the Conservatives this election, according to Lawson, noting cuts to veteran services and benefits to ordinary service men and women, as well as equipment delays, have doubtlessly hurt the Conservative cause.

Part of that voter psychology rests on the hope that one day, the Conservatives may make a comeback in B.C, even though they lost about a fifth of its support in the country during this election.

“Maybe there were people who sat this one out on the Conservative bench, who just didn’t go out to the polls because they couldn’t stand the thought of voting for anyone else,” Lawson said.

There’s an even bigger contrast at play, given the circumstances that while the NDP’s loss of seats across the country were substantial, they managed to hold on tight in this region.

Lawson pointed out that the popular vote may not provide a clear picture of what the seat count is going to look like, because everything turns on very fine three or four-way splits, leaving the playing field to be unpredictable.

“It’s not just that the polarity of votes can wind up with the majority of seats, it’s that you can have regional surges that wouldn’t be expected in terms of seat count and much turns on the efficiency of the vote.”

The highlight during this election however goes back again to youth, who were not only more involved in the whole process, but who also took part in the ridings and in the movement to change the tide, particularly on the Liberal front.

“Younger voters are going to see generational change, particularly from the agenda and results committee at the centre of the cabinet now. Most of those folks are new to politics, so the’ll be the potential for political mistakes as a consequence of that, and that could disenchant people,” Lawson said.

 

Get local stories you won't find anywhere else right to your inbox.
Sign up here

Just Posted

Students from SD62 stepped up to help members in the community with the annual 10,000 Tonight food drive. This year’s organizers had to adapt during the campaign as COIVD-19 public health orders changed. (Black Press Media file photo)
West Shore students step up to make sure community members don’t go without

Students of SD62 are this year’s recipient of the Youth Volunteer Award

A cat died in this house fire in Sidney afternoon. The fire started on the house’s deck and spread from that point. Sidney Volunteer Fire Department Chief Brett Mikkelsen said the permanent presence of crews at the Community Safety Building prevented worse damage. (Photo courtesy of Clayton Firth)
Sidney house fire kills cat, causes extensive damage

Official says fire started on deck and damage to the house could have been worse

Millstream Village is welcoming a new Marshalls location March 9. (Photo courtesy GWL Realty Advisors)
New Marshalls store in Langford brings boost to women in need

Retailer will hold opening ceremony in Millstream Village March 9

Abstract Developments is donating $75,000 to support community programming at The Cridge Centre for the Family. (Courtesy of The Cridge Centre)
Victoria developer builds support for community programs

Abstract Developments donates $75,000 to The Cridge Centre for the Family

SD 62 (Sooke) has announced a COVID-19 exposure at David Cameron Elementary in Colwood. Potential exposure dates are Monday, Feb. 22; Tuesday, Feb. 23; and Wednesday, Feb. 24. (Black Press Media File).
COVID-19 exposure at Colwood’s David Cameron Elementary

Potential exposure dates are Monday, Feb. 22; Tuesday, Feb. 23; and Wednesday, Feb. 24.

A health worker holds a vial of AstraZeneca vaccine to be administered to members of the police at a COVID-19 vaccination center in Mainz, Germany, Thursday, Feb. 25, 2021. The federal state of Rhineland-Palatinate, start with the vaccination of police officers in internal police vaccination centers. (Andreas Arnold/dpa via AP)
B.C. officials to unveil new details of COVID vaccination plan Monday

Seniors and health-care workers who haven’t gotten their shot are next on the list

A boat caught fire in Ladysmith Harbour on Saturday morning. (Photo submitted)
Search underway for missing woman after boat catches fire in Ladysmith harbour

A large boat caught fire on the morning of Saturday, Feb. 27

Lone orca from a pod that made its way north from Georgia Strait and into Discovery Passage on Saturday, Feb. 27, 2021. Photo by Ella Smiley/<a href="https://www.facebook.com/Comoxvalleywildlifesightings/?ref=page_internal" target="_blank">Comox Valley Wildlife Sightings </a>
Island wildlife viewers thrilled by close view of passing Orca pod

Group gives wildlife photographers a classic opportunity to view them off Campbell River shoreline

An investigation is underway after a man was shot and killed by Tofino RCMP in Opitsaht. (Black Press Media file photo)
Man shot and killed by RCMP near Tofino, police watchdog investigating

Investigation underway by Independent Investigations Office of British Columbia.

B.C. Supreme Court in Vancouver on Tuesday December 11, 2018. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Darryl Dyck
B.C.’s compromise on in-person worship at three churches called ‘absolutely unacceptable’

Would allow outdoor services of 25 or less by Langley, Abbotsford and Chilliwack churches

Baldy Mountain Resort was shut down on Saturday after a fatal workplace accident. (Baldy Mountain picture)
Jasmine and Gwen Donaldson are part of the CAT team working to reduce stigma for marginalized groups in Campbell River. Photo by Marc Kitteringham, Campbell River Mirror
Jasmine’s story: Stigma can be the hardest hurdle for those overcoming addiction

Recovering B.C. addict says welcome, connection and community key for rebuilding after drug habit

A Vancouver restaurant owner was found guilty of violating B.C.’s Human Rights Code by discriminating against customers on the basis of their race. (Pixabay)
Vancouver restaurant owner ordered to pay $4,000 to customers after racist remark

Referring to patrons as ‘you Arabs’ constitutes discrimination under B.C.’s Human Rights Code, ruling deems

Most Read